Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oita Trinita win with a probability of 41.88%. A win for Shonan Bellmare had a probability of 31.13% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oita Trinita win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.62%) and 2-0 (7.68%). The likeliest Shonan Bellmare win was 0-1 (9.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.
