Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kashiwa Reysol win with a probability of 45.75%. A win for Sagan Tosu had a probability of 27.46% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kashiwa Reysol win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.92%) and 0-2 (8.68%). The likeliest Sagan Tosu win was 1-0 (8.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.
