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J1 League | Gameweek 20
Jul 17, 2021 at 11am UK
Tosu Stadium

Sagan Tosu
3 - 1
Nagoya Grampus

Nakano (48'), Sakai (51'), Koyamatsu (80')
Nakano (41')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Dudu (39' og.)
Inagaki (53')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Sagan Tosu and Nagoya Grampus.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nagoya Grampus win with a probability of 43.99%. A draw had a probability of 29.6% and a win for Sagan Tosu had a probability of 26.38%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nagoya Grampus win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.19%) and 1-2 (7.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.14%), while for a Sagan Tosu win it was 1-0 (10.9%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.

Result
Sagan TosuDrawNagoya Grampus
26.38%29.62%43.99%
Both teams to score 40.49%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
34.19%65.81%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
15.55%84.45%
Sagan Tosu Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.8%42.19%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.4%78.6%
Nagoya Grampus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.05%29.95%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.95%66.05%
Score Analysis
    Sagan Tosu 26.38%
    Nagoya Grampus 43.99%
    Draw 29.61%
Sagan TosuDrawNagoya Grampus
1-0 @ 10.9%
2-1 @ 5.67%
2-0 @ 4.7%
3-1 @ 1.63%
3-0 @ 1.35%
3-2 @ 0.98%
Other @ 1.14%
Total : 26.38%
1-1 @ 13.14%
0-0 @ 12.63%
2-2 @ 3.42%
Other @ 0.42%
Total : 29.61%
0-1 @ 15.23%
0-2 @ 9.19%
1-2 @ 7.93%
0-3 @ 3.69%
1-3 @ 3.19%
2-3 @ 1.37%
0-4 @ 1.11%
1-4 @ 0.96%
Other @ 1.32%
Total : 43.99%

Head to Head

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Apr 18, 2021 7am
gameweek 10
1-2
Inagaki (85')
Nagasawa (44')
Hayashi (6'), Sakai (45')
Hayashi (24'), Iino (31')
Nov 3, 2020 4am
Gameweek 32
Sagan Tosu
0-0
Nagoya Grampus
Xavier (85')
Jul 18, 2020 10am
Gameweek 17
Nagoya Grampus
1-0
Sagan Tosu
Maeda (62')
Nakatani (55'), Yoshida (83')

Toyoda (55'), Alves (64')
Alves (83')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Vissel KobeVissel Kobe35207856342267
2Sanfrecce HiroshimaHiroshima351811666363065
3Machida Zelvia35179949311860
4Kashima AntlersKashima Antlers34169955401557
5Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka351512841311057
6Tokyo Verdy35141294645154
7FC Tokyo35149124946351
8Cerezo OsakaCerezo351213104243-149
9Avispa Fukuoka351114103134-347
10Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus35144174244-246
11Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki341111125650644
12Shonan BellmareShonan Bellmare35128155051-144
13Kyoto Sanga34128144253-1144
14Urawa Red DiamondsUrawa341110134543243
15Yokohama F MarinosYokohama34127155254-243
16Albirex Niigata351010154357-1440
17Kashiwa ReysolReysol35912143748-1139
18Jubilo Iwata3498173956-1735
19Consadole SapporoConsadole3589184060-2033
20Sagan Tosu3585224166-2529


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