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J1 League | Gameweek 36
Nov 9, 2024 at 5am UK
Ekimae Real Estate Stadium (Tosu)
Yokohama F Marinos

Sagan Tosu
1 - 2
Yokohama

Harada (26')
Nishiya (20'), Harada (33')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Nishimura (45+2'), Lopes (81')
Watanabe (17')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Sagan Tosu and Yokohama F Marinos.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sagan Tosu 2-1 Machida Zelvia
Sunday, November 3 at 5am in J1 League
Last Game: Yokohama 0-0 Urawa
Wednesday, October 30 at 10am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Yokohama F Marinos win with a probability of 46.1%. A win for Sagan Tosu had a probability of 31.85% and a draw had a probability of 22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Yokohama F Marinos win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.92%) and 0-2 (5.66%). The likeliest Sagan Tosu win was 2-1 (7.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Yokohama F Marinos in this match.

Result
Sagan TosuDrawYokohama F Marinos
31.85% (0.0079999999999991 0.01) 22.04% (0.004999999999999 0) 46.1% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Both teams to score 67.37% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.45% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)32.55% (0.022999999999996 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.8% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)54.2% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Sagan Tosu Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.06% (-0.005999999999986 -0.01)20.94% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.32% (-0.012 -0.01)53.67% (0.014000000000003 0.01)
Yokohama F Marinos Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.21% (-0.01100000000001 -0.01)14.79% (0.013000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.95% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)43.05% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Sagan Tosu 31.86%
    Yokohama F Marinos 46.1%
    Draw 22.04%
Sagan TosuDrawYokohama F Marinos
2-1 @ 7.24% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-0 @ 4.84% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-0 @ 3.79% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 3.77%
3-2 @ 3.6% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 1.97% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 1.47%
4-2 @ 1.41% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 3.76%
Total : 31.86%
1-1 @ 9.25% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.91% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-0 @ 3.1% (0.004 0)
3-3 @ 2.3% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
Other @ 0.48%
Total : 22.04%
1-2 @ 8.84% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-1 @ 5.92% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-2 @ 5.66% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-3 @ 5.63% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-3 @ 4.41% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 3.6%
1-4 @ 2.69% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-4 @ 2.11% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
0-4 @ 1.72% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
3-4 @ 1.1% (-0.002 -0)
1-5 @ 1.03% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.4%
Total : 46.1%

Head to Head
Jul 3, 2024 11am
Gameweek 16
Yokohama
0-1
Sagan Tosu
Yokoyama (53')
Kikuchi (71')
Sep 15, 2023 11am
Gameweek 27
Yokohama
1-1
Sagan Tosu
Yoshio (90')
Nagato (72')
Naganuma (87')
Naganuma (58'), Park (90+7')
May 3, 2023 7am
Gameweek 11
Sagan Tosu
1-3
Yokohama
Honda (3')
Yan (11', 21'), Elber (60')
Jul 16, 2022 11am
Gameweek 22
Sagan Tosu
2-2
Yokohama
Miyashiro (24'), Seok-Ho (59')
Fukuta (81'), Diego (90+6')
Ceara (18' pen.), Mizunuma (85')
Tsunoda (83')
Mar 18, 2022 10am
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Vissel KobeVissel Kobe38219861362572
2Sanfrecce HiroshimaHiroshima381911872432968
3Machida Zelvia381991054342066
4Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka381812849351466
5Kashima AntlersKashima Antlers381811960411965
6Tokyo Verdy381414105151056
7FC Tokyo38159145351254
8Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki381313126657952
9Yokohama F MarinosYokohama38157166162-152
10Cerezo OsakaCerezo381313124348-552
11Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus38155184447-350
12Avispa Fukuoka381214123338-550
13Urawa Red DiamondsUrawa381212144945448
14Kyoto Sanga381211154355-1247
15Shonan BellmareShonan Bellmare38129175358-545
16Albirex Niigata381012164459-1542
17Kashiwa ReysolReysol38914153951-1241
18Jubilo Iwata38108204768-2138
19Consadole SapporoConsadole38910194366-2337
20Sagan Tosu38105234868-2035


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