Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win with a probability of 48.62%. A win for Gamba Osaka had a probability of 26.53% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.45%) and 2-0 (8.47%). The likeliest Gamba Osaka win was 0-1 (7.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.