Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kashima Antlers win with a probability of 59.47%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Shimizu S-Pulse had a probability of 17.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kashima Antlers win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.61%) and 1-2 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.95%), while for a Shimizu S-Pulse win it was 1-0 (6.22%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kashima Antlers would win this match.