Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kashiwa Reysol win with a probability of 52.4%. A win for Shimizu S-Pulse had a probability of 24.44% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kashiwa Reysol win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.36%) and 0-2 (8.42%). The likeliest Shimizu S-Pulse win was 2-1 (6.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Kashiwa Reysol in this match.