Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shimizu S-Pulse win with a probability of 46.21%. A win for Shonan Bellmare had a probability of 29.21% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shimizu S-Pulse win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.31%) and 2-0 (7.58%). The likeliest Shonan Bellmare win was 0-1 (7.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.