Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vissel Kobe win with a probability of 47.96%. A win for Shimizu S-Pulse had a probability of 29.3% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vissel Kobe win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.27%) and 0-2 (6.67%). The likeliest Shimizu S-Pulse win was 2-1 (7.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.13%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.