Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Yokohama F Marinos win with a probability of 52.18%. A win for Shimizu S-Pulse had a probability of 24.8% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Yokohama F Marinos win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.05%) and 0-2 (8.22%). The likeliest Shimizu S-Pulse win was 2-1 (6.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.7%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Yokohama F Marinos would win this match.