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J1 League | Gameweek 20
Jul 6, 2022 at 11am UK
Shonan BMW Stadium Hiratsuka
Gamba Osaka

Shonan Bellmare
1 - 0
Gamba Osaka

Ohashi (43')
Sugioka (56'), Ishihara (90+4')
Sugioka (80')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Shonan Bellmare and Gamba Osaka.

Form, Standings, Stats

Shonan Bellmare

Last Six:
Last Game: Shonan Bellmare 0-0 Nagoya Grampus
Saturday, July 2 at 11am in J1 League

Gamba Osaka

Last Six:
Last Game: Gamba Osaka 1-1 Urawa
Saturday, July 2 at 11am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shonan Bellmare win with a probability of 47.95%. A draw had a probability of 28.3% and a win for Gamba Osaka had a probability of 23.71%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shonan Bellmare win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.07%) and 2-1 (8.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.78%), while for a Gamba Osaka win it was 0-1 (9.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Shonan Bellmare in this match.

Result
Shonan BellmareDrawGamba Osaka
47.95% (2.407 2.41) 28.34% (-0.602 -0.6) 23.71% (-1.806 -1.81)
Both teams to score 41.55% (0.012 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
36.58% (0.783 0.78)63.42% (-0.783 -0.78)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.23% (0.56 0.56)82.77% (-0.56 -0.56)
Shonan Bellmare Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.28% (1.603 1.6)26.71% (-1.602 -1.6)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.02% (2.07 2.07)61.97% (-2.07 -2.07)
Gamba Osaka Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.7% (-1.249 -1.25)43.3% (1.249 1.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.46% (-1.062 -1.06)79.54% (1.062 1.06)
Score Analysis
    Shonan Bellmare 47.94%
    Gamba Osaka 23.71%
    Draw 28.33%
Shonan BellmareDrawGamba Osaka
1-0 @ 15.26% (0.24 0.24)
2-0 @ 10.07% (0.593 0.59)
2-1 @ 8.44% (0.224 0.22)
3-0 @ 4.43% (0.448 0.45)
3-1 @ 3.71% (0.259 0.26)
3-2 @ 1.55% (0.057 0.06)
4-0 @ 1.46% (0.206 0.21)
4-1 @ 1.23% (0.136 0.14)
Other @ 1.79%
Total : 47.94%
1-1 @ 12.78% (-0.23 -0.23)
0-0 @ 11.56% (-0.34 -0.34)
2-2 @ 3.53% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 0.46%
Total : 28.33%
0-1 @ 9.68% (-0.629 -0.63)
1-2 @ 5.35% (-0.289 -0.29)
0-2 @ 4.05% (-0.416 -0.42)
1-3 @ 1.49% (-0.136 -0.14)
0-3 @ 1.13% (-0.159 -0.16)
2-3 @ 0.99% (-0.042 -0.04)
Other @ 1.02%
Total : 23.71%

Head to Head
Apr 17, 2022 6am
Gamba Osaka
0-1
Shonan Bellmare
Yamamoto (90')
Machino (82')
Dec 4, 2021 5am
Gamba Osaka
0-0
Shonan Bellmare

(57')

Tachi (55')
Jun 2, 2021 11am
Shonan Bellmare
0-0
Gamba Osaka

Pereira (63')
Dec 6, 2020 6am
Shonan Bellmare
1-2
Gamba Osaka
Nakagawa (35' pen.)
Kaneko (54')
Fukuda (7'), Patric (66')
Shoji (34'), Takao (44'), Fukuda (90')
Sep 13, 2020 11am
Gamba Osaka
0-1
Shonan Bellmare
Ohno (75')
Saito (11'), Okamoto (56')
rhs 2.0
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