Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kashiwa Reysol win with a probability of 59.91%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Shonan Bellmare had a probability of 17.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kashiwa Reysol win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.29%) and 1-2 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.74%), while for a Shonan Bellmare win it was 1-0 (5.91%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.