Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tokushima Vortis win with a probability of 44.02%. A draw had a probability of 28.4% and a win for Avispa Fukuoka had a probability of 27.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tokushima Vortis win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.82%) and 2-1 (8.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.08%), while for an Avispa Fukuoka win it was 0-1 (10.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.
