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J1 League | Gameweek 21
Jun 30, 2024 at 10.30am UK
Saitama Stadium 2002

Urawa
3 - 0
Jubilo Iwata

Ishihara (21'), Watanabe (52'), Ito (74')
Solbakken (45+1')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's J1 League clash between Urawa Red Diamonds and Jubilo Iwata, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Nagoya Grampus 0-1 Urawa
Wednesday, June 26 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Jubilo Iwata 3-0 Tokyo Verdy
Wednesday, June 26 at 11am in J1 League

We said: Urawa Red Diamonds 2-1 Jubilo Iwata

Despite the fact that the Red Diamonds will be disappointed with their season so far, they have still scored more and conceded fewer than Jublio. Additionally, considering the hosts have the division's joint third-best offensive record, they could once again look to generate a number of chances on Sunday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Urawa Red Diamonds win with a probability of 51.56%. A win for Jubilo Iwata had a probability of 24.59% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Urawa Red Diamonds win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.69%) and 2-0 (8.71%). The likeliest Jubilo Iwata win was 0-1 (6.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.27%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Urawa Red Diamonds would win this match.

Result
Urawa Red DiamondsDrawJubilo Iwata
51.56% (-0.207 -0.21) 23.85% (0.052999999999997 0.05) 24.59% (0.153 0.15)
Both teams to score 55.07% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.77% (-0.080999999999996 -0.08)46.23% (0.079999999999998 0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.48% (-0.074999999999999 -0.07)68.52% (0.076000000000008 0.08)
Urawa Red Diamonds Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.06% (-0.10899999999999 -0.11)17.94% (0.109 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.24% (-0.186 -0.19)48.76% (0.186 0.19)
Jubilo Iwata Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.11% (0.081999999999994 0.08)32.89% (-0.083999999999996 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.53% (0.094999999999999 0.09)69.47% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    Urawa Red Diamonds 51.55%
    Jubilo Iwata 24.59%
    Draw 23.85%
Urawa Red DiamondsDrawJubilo Iwata
1-0 @ 10.13%
2-1 @ 9.69% (-0.011999999999999 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.71% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
3-1 @ 5.55% (-0.026000000000001 -0.03)
3-0 @ 4.99% (-0.035 -0.04)
3-2 @ 3.08% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.38% (-0.02 -0.02)
4-0 @ 2.14% (-0.023 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.33% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 3.56%
Total : 51.55%
1-1 @ 11.27% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 5.9% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.39% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.14%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 23.85%
0-1 @ 6.56% (0.037 0.04)
1-2 @ 6.27% (0.028 0.03)
0-2 @ 3.65% (0.029 0.03)
1-3 @ 2.32% (0.016 0.02)
2-3 @ 2% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.35% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 24.59%

How you voted: Urawa vs Jubilo Iwata

Urawa Red Diamonds
71.4%
Draw
28.6%
Jubilo Iwata
0.0%
7
Head to Head
May 19, 2024 6am
Gameweek 15
Jubilo Iwata
1-1
Urawa
Kaneko (71')
Hoibraten (68')
Aug 13, 2022 10.30am
Gameweek 25
Jubilo Iwata
0-6
Urawa

Matsubara (44'), Ogawa (74')
Moberg-Karlsson (5', 40'), Koizumi (13', 66'), Ito (63'), Junker (79')
Sakai (49')
Mar 19, 2022 6am
Gameweek 5
Urawa
4-1
Jubilo Iwata
Inukai (8'), Junker (11'), Scholz (37' pen.), Moberg-Karlsson (48')
Suzuki (14')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Vissel KobeVissel Kobe38219861362572
2Sanfrecce HiroshimaHiroshima381911872432968
3Machida Zelvia381991054342066
4Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka381812849351466
5Kashima AntlersKashima Antlers381811960411965
6Tokyo Verdy381414105151056
7FC Tokyo38159145351254
8Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki381313126657952
9Yokohama F MarinosYokohama38157166162-152
10Cerezo OsakaCerezo381313124348-552
11Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus38155184447-350
12Avispa Fukuoka381214123338-550
13Urawa Red DiamondsUrawa381212144945448
14Kyoto Sanga381211154355-1247
15Shonan BellmareShonan Bellmare38129175358-545
16Albirex Niigata381012164459-1542
17Kashiwa ReysolReysol38914153951-1241
18Jubilo Iwata38108204768-2138
19Consadole SapporoConsadole38910194366-2337
20Sagan Tosu38105234868-2035


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