Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vissel Kobe win with a probability of 47.4%. A win for Kashiwa Reysol had a probability of 28.65% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vissel Kobe win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.85%) and 2-0 (7.47%). The likeliest Kashiwa Reysol win was 1-2 (7.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.