Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Yokohama F Marinos win with a probability of 47.52%. A win for Sanfrecce Hiroshima had a probability of 27.3% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Yokohama F Marinos win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.35%) and 2-0 (8.34%). The likeliest Sanfrecce Hiroshima win was 0-1 (7.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.96%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Yokohama F Marinos would win this match.