MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 15:18:27| >> :600:18471345:18471345:
Cambuur
KNVB Beker | Quarter-Finals
Feb 7, 2024 at 5.45pm UK
Cambuurstadion
Vitesse

Cambuur
3 - 1
Vitesse

Smit (35', 88' pen.), De Jong (81')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Hadj Moussa (79')
Oroz (59'), Hendriks (74'), Hadj Moussa (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's KNVB Beker clash between Cambuur and Vitesse, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cambuur

All competitions
KNVB Beker
Last Game: Willem II 1-1 Cambuur
Friday, February 2 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie

Vitesse

All competitions
KNVB Beker
Last Game: Vitesse 0-2 Go Ahead Eagles
Sunday, February 4 at 11.15am in Eredivisie

We said: Cambuur 0-1 Vitesse

 Both teams will feel that they deserve to be favourites for this contest, and we can see the value in backing a win for the second-tier side. However, Vitesse have improved defensively of late, leading us to predict a hard-fought win for the Eredivisie team. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cambuur win with a probability of 51.29%. A win for Vitesse had a probability of 26.49% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cambuur win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.48%) and 2-0 (7.17%). The likeliest Vitesse win was 1-2 (6.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.92%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cambuur would win this match.

Result
CambuurDrawVitesse
51.29% (-0.0020000000000024 -0) 22.22% (-0.029 -0.03) 26.49% (0.038999999999998 0.04)
Both teams to score 62.67% (0.15 0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.94% (0.18 0.18)37.07% (-0.172 -0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.74% (0.193 0.19)59.26% (-0.186 -0.19)
Cambuur Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.32% (0.067000000000007 0.07)14.69% (-0.058999999999999 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.14% (0.12 0.12)42.86% (-0.11199999999999 -0.11)
Vitesse Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.46% (0.123 0.12)26.54% (-0.115 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.25% (0.16 0.16)61.75% (-0.152 -0.15)
Score Analysis
    Cambuur 51.29%
    Vitesse 26.49%
    Draw 22.22%
CambuurDrawVitesse
2-1 @ 9.51% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
1-0 @ 7.48% (-0.047 -0.05)
2-0 @ 7.17% (-0.03 -0.03)
3-1 @ 6.08% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.59% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
3-2 @ 4.03% (0.018 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.92% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.2%
4-2 @ 1.94% (0.013 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.12% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 4.26%
Total : 51.29%
1-1 @ 9.92% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
2-2 @ 6.31% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
0-0 @ 3.9% (-0.033 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.78% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 22.22%
1-2 @ 6.58% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-1 @ 5.17% (-0.026 -0.03)
0-2 @ 3.43% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.91% (0.011 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.79% (0.016 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.52% (0.002 0)
1-4 @ 0.97% (0.007 0.01)
2-4 @ 0.93% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 26.49%

How you voted: Cambuur vs Vitesse

Cambuur
31.8%
Draw
18.2%
Vitesse
50.0%
22
Head to Head
May 14, 2023 11.15am
Gameweek 32
Vitesse
2-0
Cambuur
Bialek (56', 61')
> Preview
Oct 15, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 10
Cambuur
0-3
Vitesse
Flamingo (20'), Kozlowski (74'), Tronstad (82')
> Preview
Apr 10, 2022 1.30pm
Gameweek 27
Vitesse
1-0
Cambuur
Openda (42')
Rasmussen (45+1')

Kallon (45+1')
> Preview
Dec 4, 2021 5.45pm
Gameweek 13
Cambuur
1-6
Vitesse
Tol (41')
Tronstad (26', 49'), Openda (30', 64'), Buitink (36'), Frederiksen (79')
> Preview
Jan 16, 2016 5.30pm
Cambuur
0-2
Vitesse
Rashica (48'), Qazaishvili (90')
rhs 2.0
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