Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a HSV Hoek win with a probability of 51.73%. A win for JOS Watergraafsmeer had a probability of 27.76% and a draw had a probability of 20.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a HSV Hoek win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (6.38%) and 0-2 (5.55%). The likeliest JOS Watergraafsmeer win was 2-1 (6.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that HSV Hoek would win this match.