Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NEC win with a probability of 47.69%. A win for VVV-Venlo had a probability of 29.38% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a NEC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.48%) and 2-0 (6.76%). The likeliest VVV-Venlo win was 1-2 (7.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.3%).