Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elche win with a probability of 38.6%. A win for Alaves had a probability of 30.77% and a draw had a probability of 30.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Elche win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.81%) and 1-2 (7.27%). The likeliest Alaves win was 1-0 (12.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.45%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Elche would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Alaves | Draw | Elche |
| 30.77% | 30.63% | 38.6% |
| Both teams to score 39.99% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 32.62% | 67.39% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 14.48% | 85.52% |
| Alaves Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.55% | 39.45% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.86% | 76.14% |
| Elche Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.05% | 33.95% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.37% | 70.63% |
| Score Analysis |
| Alaves | Draw | Elche |
| 1-0 @ 12.45% 2-1 @ 6.26% 2-0 @ 5.79% 3-1 @ 1.94% 3-0 @ 1.8% 3-2 @ 1.05% Other @ 1.47% Total : 30.76% | 1-1 @ 13.45% 0-0 @ 13.39% 2-2 @ 3.38% Other @ 0.4% Total : 30.62% | 0-1 @ 14.46% 0-2 @ 7.81% 1-2 @ 7.27% 0-3 @ 2.81% 1-3 @ 2.62% 2-3 @ 1.22% Other @ 2.4% Total : 38.59% |