Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Valladolid win with a probability of 51.98%. A draw had a probability of 27.1% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 20.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Valladolid win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.03%) and 1-2 (8.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.29%), while for an Alaves win it was 1-0 (8.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Alaves | Draw | Real Valladolid |
20.91% | 27.11% | 51.98% |
Both teams to score 41.65% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
38.28% | 61.72% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
18.47% | 81.53% |
Alaves Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
54.82% | 45.17% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
18.92% | 81.07% |
Real Valladolid Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.97% | 24.03% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.71% | 58.29% |
Score Analysis |
Alaves | Draw | Real Valladolid |
1-0 @ 8.63% 2-1 @ 4.89% 2-0 @ 3.43% 3-1 @ 1.29% 3-2 @ 0.92% 3-0 @ 0.91% Other @ 0.84% Total : 20.91% | 1-1 @ 12.29% 0-0 @ 10.85% 2-2 @ 3.48% Other @ 0.47% Total : 27.1% | 0-1 @ 15.47% 0-2 @ 11.03% 1-2 @ 8.77% 0-3 @ 5.25% 1-3 @ 4.17% 0-4 @ 1.87% 2-3 @ 1.66% 1-4 @ 1.49% Other @ 2.28% Total : 51.97% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Real Madrid | 38 | 29 | 8 | 1 | 87 | 26 | 61 | 95 |
2 | Barcelona | 38 | 26 | 7 | 5 | 79 | 44 | 35 | 85 |
3 | GironaGirona | 38 | 25 | 6 | 7 | 85 | 46 | 39 | 81 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 38 | 24 | 4 | 10 | 70 | 43 | 27 | 76 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 38 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 61 | 37 | 24 | 68 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 38 | 16 | 12 | 10 | 51 | 39 | 12 | 60 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 38 | 14 | 15 | 9 | 48 | 45 | 3 | 57 |
8 | Villarreal | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 65 | 65 | 0 | 53 |
9 | Valencia | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 40 | 45 | -5 | 49 |
10 | AlavesAlaves | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 36 | 46 | -10 | 46 |
11 | Osasuna | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 45 | 56 | -11 | 45 |
12 | Getafe | 38 | 10 | 13 | 15 | 42 | 54 | -12 | 43 |
13 | Celta Vigo | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 46 | 57 | -11 | 41 |
14 | Sevilla | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 48 | 54 | -6 | 41 |
15 | Mallorca | 38 | 8 | 16 | 14 | 33 | 44 | -11 | 40 |
16 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 38 | 10 | 10 | 18 | 33 | 47 | -14 | 40 |
17 | Rayo Vallecano | 38 | 8 | 14 | 16 | 29 | 48 | -19 | 38 |
R | CadizCadiz | 38 | 6 | 15 | 17 | 26 | 55 | -29 | 33 |
R | Almeria | 38 | 3 | 12 | 23 | 43 | 75 | -32 | 21 |
R | Granada | 38 | 4 | 9 | 25 | 38 | 79 | -41 | 21 |
> La Liga Full Table |