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La Liga | Gameweek 28
Jun 14, 2020 at 1pm UK
San Mames
Atletico Madrid logo

Athletic Bilbao
1 - 1
Atletico

Muniain (37')
Muniain (6'), Williams (45+1'), Martinez (84'), Larrazabal Goikoetxea (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Costa (39')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Athletic Bilbao and Atletico Madrid, including team news and predicted lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 36.42%. A win for Atletico Madrid had a probability of 35.26% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.72%) and 2-0 (6.76%). The likeliest Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 (11.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.

Result
Athletic BilbaoDrawAtletico Madrid
36.42%28.32%35.26%
Both teams to score 46.83%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.57%59.43%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.2%79.8%
Athletic Bilbao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.8%31.19%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.47%67.53%
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.07%31.93%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.62%68.38%
Score Analysis
    Athletic Bilbao 36.42%
    Atletico Madrid 35.26%
    Draw 28.31%
Athletic BilbaoDrawAtletico Madrid
1-0 @ 11.6%
2-1 @ 7.72%
2-0 @ 6.76%
3-1 @ 3%
3-0 @ 2.63%
3-2 @ 1.71%
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 36.42%
1-1 @ 13.24%
0-0 @ 9.96%
2-2 @ 4.4%
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 28.31%
0-1 @ 11.37%
1-2 @ 7.56%
0-2 @ 6.49%
1-3 @ 2.88%
0-3 @ 2.47%
2-3 @ 1.68%
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 35.26%

Head to Head
Oct 26, 2019 8pm
Mar 16, 2019 5.30pm
Gameweek 28
Athletic Bilbao
2-0
Atletico
Williams (73'), Kodro (85')
Garcia (37'), San Jose (77'), Alvarez (82')

Rodrigo (45')
Nov 10, 2018 5.30pm
Gameweek 12
Atletico
3-2
Athletic Bilbao
Partey (61'), Rodri (80'), Godin (90')
Costa (38'), Kalinic (66'), Vitolo (66'), Adan (66'), Correa (90')
Williams (36', 64')
Etxebarria (49'), San Jose (82'), de Marcos (86'), Martinez (90')
Feb 18, 2018 3.15pm
Atletico
2-0
Athletic Bilbao
Gameiro (67'), Costa (80')
Correa (17'), Costa (36'), Luis (62')

Etxebarria (40'), Nunez (71')
Sep 20, 2017 7pm
rhs 2.0
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Rams
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atletico MadridAtletico19135134122244
2Real Madrid19134243192443
3Barcelona19122551222938
4Athletic Bilbao19106329171236
5Villarreal198653431330
6Mallorca199371921-230
7Real Sociedad198471713428
8GironaGirona198472725228
9Rayo Vallecano196762222025
10Real BetisBetis196762123-225
11Osasuna196762328-525
12Celta Vigo197392830-224
13Sevilla196582128-723
14Las PalmasLas Palmas196492429-522
15Getafe194781316-319
16Leganes194781829-1119
17AlavesAlaves1945102131-1017
18Espanyol1944111731-1416
19Real ValladolidValladolid1943121337-2415
20Valencia1927101829-1113


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