Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 36.42%. A win for Atletico Madrid had a probability of 35.26% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.72%) and 2-0 (6.76%). The likeliest Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 (11.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Athletic Bilbao | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
36.42% | 28.32% | 35.26% |
Both teams to score 46.83% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
40.57% | 59.43% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.2% | 79.8% |
Athletic Bilbao Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.8% | 31.19% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.47% | 67.53% |
Atletico Madrid Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.07% | 31.93% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.62% | 68.38% |
Score Analysis |
Athletic Bilbao | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
1-0 @ 11.6% 2-1 @ 7.72% 2-0 @ 6.76% 3-1 @ 3% 3-0 @ 2.63% 3-2 @ 1.71% Other @ 3.01% Total : 36.42% | 1-1 @ 13.24% 0-0 @ 9.96% 2-2 @ 4.4% Other @ 0.71% Total : 28.31% | 0-1 @ 11.37% 1-2 @ 7.56% 0-2 @ 6.49% 1-3 @ 2.88% 0-3 @ 2.47% 2-3 @ 1.68% Other @ 2.82% Total : 35.26% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barcelona | 14 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 42 | 14 | 28 | 34 |
2 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 14 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 21 | 8 | 13 | 29 |
3 | Real Madrid | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 27 |
4 | Villarreal | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 25 |
5 | Osasuna | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 22 |
6 | GironaGirona | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 21 |
7 | Mallorca | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 21 |
8 | Athletic Bilbao | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 20 |
9 | Real BetisBetis | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 20 |
10 | Real Sociedad | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 18 |
11 | Celta Vigo | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 18 |
12 | Rayo Vallecano | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 16 |
13 | Sevilla | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 15 |
14 | Leganes | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 14 |
15 | Getafe | 14 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 13 |
16 | AlavesAlaves | 14 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 13 |
17 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 12 |
18 | Valencia | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 10 |
19 | Espanyol | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 12 | 26 | -14 | 10 |
20 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 10 | 27 | -17 | 9 |
> La Liga Full Table |