Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 42.88%. A win for Espanyol had a probability of 30.67% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.82%) and 2-0 (7.71%). The likeliest Espanyol win was 0-1 (8.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Athletic Bilbao in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Athletic Bilbao.
Result | ||
Athletic Bilbao | Draw | Espanyol |
42.88% | 26.45% | 30.67% |
Both teams to score 51.36% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.78% | 53.23% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.21% | 74.79% |
Athletic Bilbao Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.39% | 24.61% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.89% | 59.12% |
Espanyol Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.12% | 31.88% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.68% | 68.33% |
Score Analysis |
Athletic Bilbao | Draw | Espanyol |
1-0 @ 11% 2-1 @ 8.82% 2-0 @ 7.71% 3-1 @ 4.12% 3-0 @ 3.6% 3-2 @ 2.36% 4-1 @ 1.44% 4-0 @ 1.26% Other @ 2.57% Total : 42.88% | 1-1 @ 12.57% 0-0 @ 7.85% 2-2 @ 5.04% Other @ 0.99% Total : 26.45% | 0-1 @ 8.97% 1-2 @ 7.19% 0-2 @ 5.13% 1-3 @ 2.74% 0-3 @ 1.95% 2-3 @ 1.92% Other @ 2.78% Total : 30.67% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Real Madrid | 34 | 27 | 6 | 1 | 74 | 22 | 52 | 87 |
2 | GironaGirona | 34 | 23 | 5 | 6 | 73 | 42 | 31 | 74 |
3 | Barcelona | 34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 70 | 43 | 27 | 73 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 34 | 21 | 4 | 9 | 63 | 39 | 24 | 67 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 55 | 33 | 22 | 61 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 34 | 14 | 12 | 8 | 48 | 35 | 13 | 54 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 33 | 12 | 13 | 8 | 41 | 39 | 2 | 49 |
8 | Valencia | 33 | 13 | 8 | 12 | 37 | 38 | -1 | 47 |
9 | Villarreal | 33 | 12 | 9 | 12 | 54 | 55 | -1 | 45 |
10 | Getafe | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 41 | 47 | -6 | 43 |
11 | Osasuna | 33 | 11 | 6 | 16 | 37 | 49 | -12 | 39 |
12 | AlavesAlaves | 33 | 10 | 8 | 15 | 31 | 38 | -7 | 38 |
13 | Sevilla | 33 | 9 | 11 | 13 | 42 | 46 | -4 | 38 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 30 | 43 | -13 | 37 |
15 | Rayo Vallecano | 33 | 7 | 13 | 13 | 27 | 42 | -15 | 34 |
16 | Mallorca | 34 | 6 | 14 | 14 | 27 | 40 | -13 | 32 |
17 | Celta Vigo | 33 | 7 | 10 | 16 | 37 | 50 | -13 | 31 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 34 | 4 | 14 | 16 | 23 | 49 | -26 | 26 |
19 | Granada | 33 | 4 | 9 | 20 | 36 | 61 | -25 | 21 |
R | Almeria | 33 | 1 | 11 | 21 | 32 | 67 | -35 | 14 |
> La Liga Full Table |