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La Liga | Gameweek 25
Feb 20, 2022 at 8pm UK
San Mames
Real Sociedad logo

Athletic Bilbao
4 - 0
Real Sociedad

Vivian (68'), Sancet (72'), Williams (80'), Muniain (89')
Garcia (5'), Martinez (37'), Garcia (55'), Berenguer (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Silva (30')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Athletic Bilbao and Real Sociedad, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Athletic Bilbao 1-1 Real Sociedad

With two rivals and two of the league's strongest defences squaring off in a crucial battle, we see this being a cagey affair and predict a low-scoring draw as the most likely outcome. Both have the ability to neutralise one another's attacking threats with organised structures, and we cannot quite pick a winner for this edition of the Basque Derby as a result. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 37.87%. A win for Athletic Bilbao had a probability of 35.41% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.25%) and 0-2 (6.62%). The likeliest Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 (9.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.

Result
Athletic BilbaoDrawReal Sociedad
35.41%26.72%37.87%
Both teams to score 51.79%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.75%53.24%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.2%74.8%
Athletic Bilbao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.24%28.75%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.4%64.59%
Real Sociedad Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.7%27.3%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.25%62.74%
Score Analysis
    Athletic Bilbao 35.41%
    Real Sociedad 37.87%
    Draw 26.71%
Athletic BilbaoDrawReal Sociedad
1-0 @ 9.78%
2-1 @ 7.92%
2-0 @ 6.1%
3-1 @ 3.29%
3-0 @ 2.53%
3-2 @ 2.14%
4-1 @ 1.03%
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 35.41%
1-1 @ 12.7%
0-0 @ 7.85%
2-2 @ 5.14%
3-3 @ 0.92%
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.71%
0-1 @ 10.19%
1-2 @ 8.25%
0-2 @ 6.62%
1-3 @ 3.57%
0-3 @ 2.86%
2-3 @ 2.22%
1-4 @ 1.16%
0-4 @ 0.93%
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 37.87%

How you voted: Athletic Bilbao vs Real Sociedad

Athletic Bilbao
45.7%
Draw
30.4%
Real Sociedad
23.9%
46
Head to Head
Oct 31, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 12
Real Sociedad
1-1
Athletic Bilbao
Isak (58' pen.)
Isak (71'), Januzaj (74'), Merino (78'), Guevara (90+3')
Muniain (90+1')
Martinez (56'), de Marcos (59')
Martinez (84')
Apr 7, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 29
Real Sociedad
1-1
Athletic Bilbao
Lopez (89')
Munoz (12'), Zubeldia (38'), Zubimendi (84')
Villalibre (85')
Garcia (22')
Apr 3, 2021 8.30pm
Dec 31, 2020 1pm
Gameweek 16
Athletic Bilbao
0-1
Real Sociedad

Vencedor (23'), Berchiche (55'), Nunez (62'), Martinez (81'), Capa (84')
Portu (5')
Guevara (8'), Barrenetxea (21'), Merino (39'), Zubeldia (67')
Feb 9, 2020 1pm
Gameweek 23
Real Sociedad
2-1
Athletic Bilbao
Portu (65'), Isak (83')
Portu (63'), Isak (89')
Williams (71')
Capa (63'), Garcia (81')
Muniain (89')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona11100137102730
2Real Madrid1173121111024
3Villarreal116322019121
4Osasuna126331716121
5Atletico MadridAtletico11551167920
6Athletic Bilbao115331711618
7Real BetisBetis11533119218
8Mallorca12534109118
9Rayo Vallecano114431210216
10GironaGirona124351517-215
11Sevilla114341215-315
12Celta Vigo114161720-313
13AlavesAlaves124171419-513
14Real Sociedad11335810-212
15Leganes122551216-411
16Getafe1117389-110
17Espanyol113171019-910
18Las PalmasLas Palmas112361319-69
19Real ValladolidValladolid12228924-158
20Valencia11146817-97


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