Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 45.48%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Athletic Bilbao had a probability of 27.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.89%) and 1-2 (8.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.84%), while for an Athletic Bilbao win it was 1-0 (9.45%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Sevilla in this match.
Result | ||
Athletic Bilbao | Draw | Sevilla |
27.07% | 27.45% | 45.48% |
Both teams to score 46.44% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.45% | 58.55% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.88% | 79.12% |
Athletic Bilbao Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.5% | 37.49% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.72% | 74.27% |
Sevilla Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.3% | 25.7% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.38% | 60.61% |
Score Analysis |
Athletic Bilbao | Draw | Sevilla |
1-0 @ 9.45% 2-1 @ 6.3% 2-0 @ 4.64% 3-1 @ 2.06% 3-0 @ 1.52% 3-2 @ 1.4% Other @ 1.71% Total : 27.07% | 1-1 @ 12.84% 0-0 @ 9.64% 2-2 @ 4.28% Other @ 0.69% Total : 27.45% | 0-1 @ 13.09% 0-2 @ 8.89% 1-2 @ 8.73% 0-3 @ 4.03% 1-3 @ 3.95% 2-3 @ 1.94% 0-4 @ 1.37% 1-4 @ 1.34% Other @ 2.14% Total : 45.48% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 19 | 13 | 5 | 1 | 34 | 12 | 22 | 44 |
2 | Real Madrid | 19 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 43 | 19 | 24 | 43 |
3 | Barcelona | 19 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 51 | 22 | 29 | 38 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 36 |
5 | Villarreal | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 34 | 30 | 4 | 30 |
6 | Mallorca | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 30 |
7 | Real Sociedad | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 25 |
8 | GironaGirona | 19 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 27 | 25 | 2 | 25 |
9 | Rayo Vallecano | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 22 | 22 | 0 | 25 |
10 | Real BetisBetis | 19 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 21 | 23 | -2 | 25 |
11 | Osasuna | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 25 |
12 | Celta Vigo | 19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 28 | 30 | -2 | 24 |
13 | Sevilla | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 23 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 24 | 29 | -5 | 22 |
15 | Getafe | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 19 |
16 | Leganes | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 19 |
17 | AlavesAlaves | 19 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 21 | 31 | -10 | 17 |
18 | Espanyol | 19 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 17 | 31 | -14 | 16 |
19 | Valencia | 19 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 13 |
20 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 19 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 13 | 37 | -24 | 12 |
> La Liga Full Table |