Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 51.68%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Valencia had a probability of 23.56%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.56%) and 2-0 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.77%), while for a Valencia win it was 0-1 (7.25%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.
Result | ||
Atletico Madrid | Draw | Valencia |
51.68% | 24.75% | 23.56% |
Both teams to score 51.1% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.06% | 50.94% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.19% | 72.81% |
Atletico Madrid Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.3% | 19.7% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.3% | 51.7% |
Valencia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.63% | 36.37% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.84% | 73.15% |
Score Analysis |
Atletico Madrid | Draw | Valencia |
1-0 @ 11.63% 2-1 @ 9.56% 2-0 @ 9.46% 3-1 @ 5.18% 3-0 @ 5.12% 3-2 @ 2.62% 4-1 @ 2.1% 4-0 @ 2.08% 4-2 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.86% Total : 51.67% | 1-1 @ 11.77% 0-0 @ 7.16% 2-2 @ 4.84% Other @ 0.98% Total : 24.75% | 0-1 @ 7.25% 1-2 @ 5.95% 0-2 @ 3.66% 1-3 @ 2.01% 2-3 @ 1.63% 0-3 @ 1.24% Other @ 1.83% Total : 23.56% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barcelona | 14 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 42 | 14 | 28 | 34 |
2 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 14 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 21 | 8 | 13 | 29 |
3 | Real Madrid | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 27 |
4 | Villarreal | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 25 |
5 | Osasuna | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 22 |
6 | GironaGirona | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 21 |
7 | Mallorca | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 21 |
8 | Athletic Bilbao | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 20 |
9 | Real BetisBetis | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 20 |
10 | Real Sociedad | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 18 |
11 | Celta Vigo | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 18 |
12 | Sevilla | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 18 | -5 | 18 |
13 | Rayo Vallecano | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 16 |
14 | Leganes | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 14 |
15 | Getafe | 14 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 13 |
16 | AlavesAlaves | 14 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 13 |
17 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 12 |
18 | Valencia | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 10 |
19 | Espanyol | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 12 | 26 | -14 | 10 |
20 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 10 | 27 | -17 | 9 |
> La Liga Full Table |