Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Betis win with a probability of 55.35%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 18.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Betis win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.82%) and 2-1 (8.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.82%), while for an Alaves win it was 0-1 (7.79%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Betis would win this match.