Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alaves win with a probability of 40.96%. A draw had a probability of 29.8% and a win for Cadiz had a probability of 29.24%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alaves win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.31%) and 1-2 (7.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.34%), while for a Cadiz win it was 1-0 (11.53%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Cadiz | Draw | Alaves |
| 29.24% | 29.81% | 40.96% |
| Both teams to score 41.5% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 34.68% | 65.32% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 15.89% | 84.12% |
| Cadiz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.51% | 39.49% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.82% | 76.18% |
| Alaves Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.58% | 31.43% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.2% | 67.8% |
| Score Analysis |
| Cadiz | Draw | Alaves |
| 1-0 @ 11.53% 2-1 @ 6.2% 2-0 @ 5.36% 3-1 @ 1.92% 3-0 @ 1.66% 3-2 @ 1.11% Other @ 1.46% Total : 29.24% | 1-1 @ 13.34% 0-0 @ 12.41% 2-2 @ 3.59% Other @ 0.46% Total : 29.8% | 0-1 @ 14.36% 0-2 @ 8.31% 1-2 @ 7.73% 0-3 @ 3.21% 1-3 @ 2.98% 2-3 @ 1.39% 0-4 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.06% Total : 40.96% |