Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 61.29%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Cadiz had a probability of 15.86%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.33%) and 1-2 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.73%), while for a Cadiz win it was 1-0 (6.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.
Result | ||
Cadiz | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
15.86% | 22.85% | 61.29% |
Both teams to score 44.68% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.83% | 53.17% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.26% | 74.74% |
Cadiz Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
53.79% | 46.21% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
18.12% | 81.88% |
Atletico Madrid Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.06% | 16.94% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.98% | 47.02% |
Score Analysis |
Cadiz | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
1-0 @ 6.04% 2-1 @ 4.14% 2-0 @ 2.33% 3-1 @ 1.07% 3-2 @ 0.95% Other @ 1.33% Total : 15.86% | 1-1 @ 10.73% 0-0 @ 7.83% 2-2 @ 3.68% Other @ 0.61% Total : 22.85% | 0-1 @ 13.89% 0-2 @ 12.33% 1-2 @ 9.53% 0-3 @ 7.3% 1-3 @ 5.64% 0-4 @ 3.24% 1-4 @ 2.5% 2-3 @ 2.18% 0-5 @ 1.15% 2-4 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.56% Total : 61.28% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Madrid | 21 | 15 | 4 | 2 | 50 | 20 | 30 | 49 |
2 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 21 | 13 | 6 | 2 | 35 | 14 | 21 | 45 |
3 | Barcelona | 21 | 13 | 3 | 5 | 59 | 24 | 35 | 42 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 21 | 11 | 7 | 3 | 31 | 18 | 13 | 40 |
5 | Villarreal | 21 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 39 | 32 | 7 | 34 |
6 | Mallorca | 21 | 9 | 3 | 9 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 30 |
7 | Rayo Vallecano | 21 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 25 | 24 | 1 | 29 |
8 | GironaGirona | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 29 | 29 | 0 | 28 |
9 | Real Sociedad | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 28 |
10 | Real BetisBetis | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 23 | 26 | -3 | 28 |
11 | Osasuna | 21 | 6 | 9 | 6 | 25 | 30 | -5 | 27 |
12 | Sevilla | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 24 | 30 | -6 | 27 |
13 | Celta Vigo | 21 | 7 | 4 | 10 | 30 | 33 | -3 | 25 |
14 | Getafe | 21 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 23 |
15 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 26 | 34 | -8 | 23 |
16 | Leganes | 21 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 19 | 29 | -10 | 23 |
17 | AlavesAlaves | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 25 | 33 | -8 | 21 |
18 | Espanyol | 21 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 20 | 33 | -13 | 20 |
19 | Valencia | 21 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 20 | 36 | -16 | 16 |
20 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 21 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 14 | 42 | -28 | 15 |
> La Liga Full Table |