Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 42.41%. A win for Getafe had a probability of 30.05% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.53%) and 2-0 (8.04%). The likeliest Getafe win was 0-1 (9.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Celta Vigo in this match.