Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 67.1%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Elche had a probability of 12.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (13.65%) and 1-2 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.63%), while for a Elche win it was 1-0 (4.97%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.