Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 56.42%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Elche had a probability of 21.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.62%) and 0-2 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.42%), while for a Elche win it was 2-1 (5.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Elche | Draw | Villarreal |
21.33% | 22.24% | 56.42% |
Both teams to score 56.25% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.29% | 42.7% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.89% | 65.11% |
Elche Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.14% | 33.86% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.48% | 70.52% |
Villarreal Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.04% | 14.96% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.62% | 43.38% |
Score Analysis |
Elche | Draw | Villarreal |
2-1 @ 5.64% 1-0 @ 5.49% 2-0 @ 2.97% 3-1 @ 2.04% 3-2 @ 1.94% 3-0 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.19% Total : 21.33% | 1-1 @ 10.42% 2-2 @ 5.36% 0-0 @ 5.06% 3-3 @ 1.23% Other @ 0.17% Total : 22.24% | 1-2 @ 9.9% 0-1 @ 9.62% 0-2 @ 9.14% 1-3 @ 6.27% 0-3 @ 5.79% 2-3 @ 3.4% 1-4 @ 2.98% 0-4 @ 2.75% 2-4 @ 1.61% 1-5 @ 1.13% 0-5 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.79% Total : 56.42% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Real Madrid | 34 | 27 | 6 | 1 | 74 | 22 | 52 | 87 |
2 | GironaGirona | 34 | 23 | 5 | 6 | 73 | 42 | 31 | 74 |
3 | Barcelona | 34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 70 | 43 | 27 | 73 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 34 | 21 | 4 | 9 | 63 | 39 | 24 | 67 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 55 | 33 | 22 | 61 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 34 | 14 | 12 | 8 | 48 | 35 | 13 | 54 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 33 | 12 | 13 | 8 | 41 | 39 | 2 | 49 |
8 | Valencia | 33 | 13 | 8 | 12 | 37 | 38 | -1 | 47 |
9 | Villarreal | 33 | 12 | 9 | 12 | 54 | 55 | -1 | 45 |
10 | Getafe | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 41 | 47 | -6 | 43 |
11 | Osasuna | 33 | 11 | 6 | 16 | 37 | 49 | -12 | 39 |
12 | AlavesAlaves | 33 | 10 | 8 | 15 | 31 | 38 | -7 | 38 |
13 | Sevilla | 33 | 9 | 11 | 13 | 42 | 46 | -4 | 38 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 30 | 43 | -13 | 37 |
15 | Rayo Vallecano | 33 | 7 | 13 | 13 | 27 | 42 | -15 | 34 |
16 | Mallorca | 34 | 6 | 14 | 14 | 27 | 40 | -13 | 32 |
17 | Celta Vigo | 33 | 7 | 10 | 16 | 37 | 50 | -13 | 31 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 34 | 4 | 14 | 16 | 23 | 49 | -26 | 26 |
19 | Granada | 33 | 4 | 9 | 20 | 36 | 61 | -25 | 21 |
R | Almeria | 33 | 1 | 11 | 21 | 32 | 67 | -35 | 14 |
> La Liga Full Table |