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La Liga | Gameweek 38
Jun 4, 2023 at 8pm UK
RCDE Stadium
Almeria

Espanyol
3 - 3
Almeria

Puado (13'), Pierre-Gabriel (49'), Koleosho (73')
Olivan (30'), Montes (41')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Bilal Toure (10'), Embarba (58', 87' pen.)
Pozo (30'), Samu (45'), Ramazani (87'), Melero (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Espanyol and Almeria, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Valencia 2-2 Espanyol
Sunday, May 28 at 6pm in La Liga
Last Game: Almeria 0-0 Valladolid
Sunday, May 28 at 6pm in La Liga

We said: Espanyol 1-1 Almeria

Almeria have won just one of their 18 away league games this season, and with Espanyol unbeaten in three matches, we think that the visitors will have to be content with a point. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Espanyol win with a probability of 48.6%. A win for Almeria had a probability of 25.97% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Espanyol win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.36%) and 2-0 (8.84%). The likeliest Almeria win was 0-1 (7.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
EspanyolDrawAlmeria
48.6% (0.099000000000004 0.1) 25.43% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05) 25.97% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)
Both teams to score 51.43% (0.131 0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.33% (0.189 0.19)51.67% (-0.191 -0.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.55% (0.163 0.16)73.45% (-0.16500000000001 -0.17)
Espanyol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.73% (0.121 0.12)21.27% (-0.122 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.8% (0.187 0.19)54.19% (-0.189 -0.19)
Almeria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.32% (0.064999999999998 0.06)34.67% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.6% (0.068000000000001 0.07)71.4% (-0.069999999999993 -0.07)
Score Analysis
    Espanyol 48.6%
    Almeria 25.97%
    Draw 25.42%
EspanyolDrawAlmeria
1-0 @ 11.41% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
2-1 @ 9.36% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
2-0 @ 8.84% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
3-1 @ 4.83% (0.025 0.03)
3-0 @ 4.56% (0.016 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.56% (0.018 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.87% (0.017 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.76% (0.013 0.01)
4-2 @ 0.99% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 48.6%
1-1 @ 12.09% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 7.38% (-0.056 -0.06)
2-2 @ 4.96% (0.017 0.02)
3-3 @ 0.9% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 25.42%
0-1 @ 7.81% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
1-2 @ 6.4% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 4.14% (-0.017 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.26% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 1.75% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.46% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 25.97%

How you voted: Espanyol vs Almeria

Espanyol
51.8%
Draw
25.0%
Almeria
23.2%
56
Head to Head
Jan 27, 2023 8pm
gameweek 19
Almeria
3-1
Espanyol
Suarez Charris (21'), Baptistao (61'), Portillo (77')
Joselu (90+3')
Apr 19, 2021 8pm
gameweek 35
Almeria
1-1
Espanyol
Sadiq (50')
Makaridze (71')
Dimata (58')
Darder (74')
Dec 20, 2020 3pm
Jan 25, 2015 6pm
Espanyol
3-0
Almeria
Stuani (37', 40'), Caicedo (74')
Gonzalez (51'), Canas (58')

Partey (39')
Aug 23, 2014 10pm
Almeria
1-1
Espanyol
Soriano (52')
Trujillo (18'), Antonio Rabasco (50'), Partey (83')
Garcia (94')
Arbilla (18'), Garcia (65'), Sanchez (88')
Arbilla (33')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona11100137102730
2Real Madrid1173121111024
3Villarreal116322019121
4Osasuna126331716121
5Atletico MadridAtletico11551167920
6Athletic Bilbao115331711618
7Real BetisBetis11533119218
8Mallorca12534109118
9Rayo Vallecano114431210216
10GironaGirona124351517-215
11Sevilla114341215-315
12Celta Vigo114161720-313
13AlavesAlaves124171419-513
14Real Sociedad11335810-212
15Leganes122551216-411
16Getafe1117389-110
17Espanyol113171019-910
18Las PalmasLas Palmas112361319-69
19Real ValladolidValladolid12228924-158
20Valencia11146817-97


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