Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Espanyol win with a probability of 50.05%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Levante had a probability of 24.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Espanyol win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.51%) and 2-1 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.18%), while for a Levante win it was 0-1 (7.96%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Espanyol would win this match.
Result | ||
Espanyol | Draw | Levante |
50.05% | 25.72% | 24.23% |
Both teams to score 48.95% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.88% | 54.12% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.46% | 75.53% |
Espanyol Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.35% | 21.65% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.22% | 54.78% |
Levante Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.48% | 37.52% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.7% | 74.3% |
Score Analysis |
Espanyol | Draw | Levante |
1-0 @ 12.43% 2-0 @ 9.51% 2-1 @ 9.32% 3-0 @ 4.85% 3-1 @ 4.76% 3-2 @ 2.33% 4-0 @ 1.86% 4-1 @ 1.82% Other @ 3.18% Total : 50.05% | 1-1 @ 12.18% 0-0 @ 8.12% 2-2 @ 4.57% Other @ 0.84% Total : 25.71% | 0-1 @ 7.96% 1-2 @ 5.97% 0-2 @ 3.9% 1-3 @ 1.95% 2-3 @ 1.49% 0-3 @ 1.28% Other @ 1.67% Total : 24.23% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Real Madrid | 37 | 29 | 7 | 1 | 87 | 26 | 61 | 94 |
2 | Barcelona | 37 | 25 | 7 | 5 | 77 | 43 | 34 | 82 |
3 | GironaGirona | 38 | 25 | 6 | 7 | 85 | 46 | 39 | 81 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 37 | 23 | 4 | 10 | 68 | 43 | 25 | 73 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 37 | 18 | 11 | 8 | 60 | 37 | 23 | 65 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 37 | 16 | 12 | 9 | 51 | 37 | 14 | 60 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 37 | 14 | 14 | 9 | 48 | 45 | 3 | 56 |
8 | Villarreal | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 64 | 64 | 0 | 52 |
9 | Valencia | 37 | 13 | 9 | 15 | 38 | 43 | -5 | 48 |
10 | AlavesAlaves | 37 | 12 | 9 | 16 | 35 | 45 | -10 | 45 |
11 | Osasuna | 37 | 12 | 8 | 17 | 44 | 55 | -11 | 44 |
12 | Getafe | 37 | 10 | 13 | 14 | 41 | 52 | -11 | 43 |
13 | Sevilla | 37 | 10 | 11 | 16 | 47 | 52 | -5 | 41 |
14 | Celta Vigo | 37 | 10 | 10 | 17 | 44 | 55 | -11 | 40 |
15 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 37 | 10 | 9 | 18 | 32 | 46 | -14 | 39 |
16 | Rayo Vallecano | 37 | 8 | 14 | 15 | 29 | 47 | -18 | 38 |
17 | Mallorca | 37 | 7 | 16 | 14 | 31 | 43 | -12 | 37 |
R | CadizCadiz | 37 | 6 | 15 | 16 | 25 | 49 | -24 | 33 |
R | Granada | 38 | 4 | 9 | 25 | 38 | 79 | -41 | 21 |
R | Almeria | 37 | 2 | 12 | 23 | 37 | 74 | -37 | 18 |
> La Liga Full Table |