Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 39.1%. A win for Getafe had a probability of 31.21% and a draw had a probability of 29.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.76%) and 1-2 (7.62%). The likeliest Getafe win was 1-0 (11.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood.