Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Getafe win with a probability of 41.07%. A win for Real Sociedad had a probability of 31.79% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Getafe win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.51%) and 2-0 (7.53%). The likeliest Real Sociedad win was 0-1 (9.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Getafe would win this match.