Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Granada win with a probability of 50.93%. A draw had a probability of 28.2% and a win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 20.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Granada win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.13%) and 2-1 (8.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.41%), while for a Real Valladolid win it was 0-1 (9.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Granada | Draw | Real Valladolid |
| 50.93% | 28.22% | 20.84% |
| Both teams to score 39% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 34.89% | 65.1% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.03% | 83.96% |
| Granada Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.95% | 26.04% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.91% | 61.08% |
| Real Valladolid Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 52.74% | 47.26% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 17.32% | 82.68% |
| Score Analysis |
| Granada | Draw | Real Valladolid |
| 1-0 @ 16.55% 2-0 @ 11.13% 2-1 @ 8.35% 3-0 @ 5% 3-1 @ 3.74% 4-0 @ 1.68% 3-2 @ 1.4% 4-1 @ 1.26% Other @ 1.81% Total : 50.92% | 1-1 @ 12.41% 0-0 @ 12.3% 2-2 @ 3.13% Other @ 0.37% Total : 28.21% | 0-1 @ 9.23% 1-2 @ 4.65% 0-2 @ 3.46% 1-3 @ 1.16% Other @ 2.34% Total : 20.84% |