Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Granada win with a probability of 50.93%. A draw had a probability of 28.2% and a win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 20.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Granada win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.13%) and 2-1 (8.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.41%), while for a Real Valladolid win it was 0-1 (9.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.