Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 62.29%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Granada had a probability of 17.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.1%) and 1-2 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.75%), while for a Granada win it was 1-0 (4.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Villarreal would win this match.
Result | ||
Granada | Draw | Villarreal |
17.03% | 20.68% | 62.29% |
Both teams to score 53.83% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.8% | 42.2% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.39% | 64.6% |
Granada Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.87% | 38.13% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.11% | 74.89% |
Villarreal Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.01% | 12.99% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
60.5% | 39.5% |
Score Analysis |
Granada | Draw | Villarreal |
1-0 @ 4.77% 2-1 @ 4.7% 2-0 @ 2.3% 3-2 @ 1.54% 3-1 @ 1.51% Other @ 2.21% Total : 17.03% | 1-1 @ 9.75% 0-0 @ 4.95% 2-2 @ 4.8% 3-3 @ 1.05% Other @ 0.14% Total : 20.68% | 0-2 @ 10.31% 0-1 @ 10.1% 1-2 @ 9.95% 0-3 @ 7.02% 1-3 @ 6.77% 0-4 @ 3.58% 1-4 @ 3.45% 2-3 @ 3.26% 2-4 @ 1.67% 0-5 @ 1.46% 1-5 @ 1.41% Other @ 3.29% Total : 62.27% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barcelona | 14 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 42 | 14 | 28 | 34 |
2 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 14 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 21 | 8 | 13 | 29 |
3 | Real Madrid | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 27 |
4 | Villarreal | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 24 |
5 | GironaGirona | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 21 |
6 | Mallorca | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 21 |
7 | Osasuna | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 21 |
8 | Athletic Bilbao | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 20 |
9 | Real BetisBetis | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 20 |
10 | Real Sociedad | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 18 |
11 | Celta Vigo | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 18 |
12 | Rayo Vallecano | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 16 |
13 | Sevilla | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 15 |
14 | Leganes | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 14 |
15 | Getafe | 14 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 13 |
16 | AlavesAlaves | 14 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 13 |
17 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 12 |
18 | Valencia | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 10 |
19 | Espanyol | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 12 | 26 | -14 | 10 |
20 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 10 | 27 | -17 | 9 |
> La Liga Full Table |