Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leganes win with a probability of 47.76%. A draw had a probability of 28.5% and a win for Las Palmas had a probability of 23.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leganes win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.09%) and 2-1 (8.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.8%), while for a Las Palmas win it was 0-1 (9.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leganes would win this match.
Result | ||
Leganes | Draw | Las Palmas |
47.76% ( -0.03) | 28.55% ( 0.06) | 23.69% ( -0.03) |
Both teams to score 41.05% ( -0.16) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
35.94% ( -0.19) | 64.06% ( 0.19) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
16.77% ( -0.14) | 83.23% ( 0.14) |
Leganes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.89% ( -0.11) | 27.1% ( 0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.51% ( -0.14) | 62.49% ( 0.13) |
Las Palmas Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
56.31% ( -0.15) | 43.69% ( 0.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
20.14% ( -0.12) | 79.86% ( 0.12) |
Score Analysis |
Leganes | Draw | Las Palmas |
1-0 @ 15.45% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 10.09% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 8.36% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 4.39% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.64% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.51% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.43% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.19% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.71% Total : 47.76% | 1-1 @ 12.8% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 11.84% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 3.46% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.45% Total : 28.55% | 0-1 @ 9.81% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 5.3% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 4.06% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.46% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.12% ( -0) 2-3 @ 0.96% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.98% Total : 23.69% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Madrid | 20 | 14 | 4 | 2 | 47 | 20 | 27 | 46 |
2 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 20 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 34 | 13 | 21 | 44 |
3 | Barcelona | 20 | 12 | 3 | 5 | 52 | 23 | 29 | 39 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 20 | 11 | 6 | 3 | 31 | 18 | 13 | 39 |
5 | Villarreal | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 38 | 31 | 7 | 33 |
6 | Mallorca | 20 | 9 | 3 | 8 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 30 |
7 | Real Sociedad | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 17 | 14 | 3 | 28 |
8 | GironaGirona | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 28 | 27 | 1 | 28 |
9 | Rayo Vallecano | 20 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 26 |
10 | Osasuna | 20 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 24 | 29 | -5 | 26 |
11 | Sevilla | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 23 | 29 | -6 | 26 |
12 | Real BetisBetis | 20 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 25 |
13 | Celta Vigo | 20 | 7 | 3 | 10 | 29 | 32 | -3 | 24 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 20 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 25 | 33 | -8 | 22 |
15 | Leganes | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 29 | -10 | 22 |
16 | Getafe | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 20 |
17 | AlavesAlaves | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 24 | 32 | -8 | 20 |
18 | Espanyol | 20 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 19 | 32 | -13 | 19 |
19 | Valencia | 20 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 19 | 29 | -10 | 16 |
20 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 20 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 14 | 39 | -25 | 15 |
> La Liga Full Table |