Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 59.06%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Levante had a probability of 18.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.47%) and 1-2 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.58%), while for a Levante win it was 1-0 (5.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Villarreal would win this match.