La Liga | Gameweek 16
Dec 9, 2023 at 8pm UK
Iberostar Estadi
We said: Mallorca 2-2 Sevilla
These two sides have drawn 15 times between them in La Liga this season, and we are finding it difficult to pick another result here. Sevilla have just two wins to their name, while Mallorca have only been victorious once, and it would be a surprise if the points were not shared in Saturday's contest.
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Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 36.93% . A win for Mallorca had a probability of 34.7% and a draw had a probability of 28.4% .
The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.76% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.77%) and 0-2 (6.89%) . The likeliest Mallorca win was 1-0 (11.31%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.25%) . The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood .
Result Mallorca Draw Sevilla 34.7% ( -0.18) 28.37% ( -0.03) 36.93% ( 0.21)
Both teams to score 46.65% ( 0.07)
40.36% ( 0.09) 59.64% ( -0.09)
20.04% ( 0.07) 79.97% ( -0.07)
67.59% ( -0.07) 32.41% ( 0.08)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 31.07% ( -0.09) 68.93% ( 0.09)
69.02% ( 0.18) 30.98% ( -0.18)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 32.71% ( 0.21) 67.29% ( -0.2)
Mallorca 34.7%
Sevilla 36.92%
Draw 28.36%
Mallorca Draw Sevilla 1-0 @ 11.31% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 7.47% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 6.37% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 2.81% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.39% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.64% Other @ 2.7% Total : 34.7% 1-1 @ 13.25% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 10.04% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 4.38% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.7% Total : 28.36% 0-1 @ 11.76% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 7.77% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 6.89% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 3.03% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 2.69% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 1.71% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.07% Total : 36.92%
How you voted: Mallorca vs Sevilla
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rhs 2.0
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