We said: Osasuna 1-2 Barcelona
It is difficult to back Barcelona to win at the moment, especially away from home, but we believe that there will be a reaction from their Champions League exit. Osasuna are more than capable of picking up a positive result here, though, and it is likely to be a very tight match on Sunday afternoon.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 53.45%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Osasuna had a probability of 22.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.72%) and 0-2 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.4%), while for a Osasuna win it was 1-0 (6.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.