We said: Rayo Vallecano 2-2 Espanyol
Both Rayo Vallecano and Espanyol are expected to name their strongest possible sides for Sunday's encounter and the two teams will fancy their chances of claiming all three points.
Espanyol did the double over Los Franjirrojos last season, however they may have to settle for just a point this weekend, a result that both sides would seemingly be content with.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 42.96%. A draw had a probability of 28.8% and a win for Espanyol had a probability of 28.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.64%) and 2-1 (8.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.18%), while for a Espanyol win it was 0-1 (10.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Rayo Vallecano in this match.