La Liga | Gameweek 9
Oct 16, 2022 at 3.15pm UK
Estadio Santiago Bernabéu
Real Madrid3 - 1Barcelona
Reaction
Barcelona's president 'storms referee's dressing room after El Clasico'
Barcelona president Joan Laporta storms the referee's dressing room following Sunday's 3-1 El Clasico defeat to rivals Real Madrid.
Oct 16, 23:13
Xavi says Real Madrid are "a more mature team" following El Clasico
Barcelona boss Xavi opens up on his frustration following Sunday's 3-1 defeat to Spanish champions Real Madrid in El Clasico.
Oct 16, 18:49
Real Madrid return to top of La Liga with victory in El Clasico
Real Madrid move back to the top of the La Liga table courtesy of a 3-1 victory over Barcelona, with Karim Benzema, Federico Valverde and Rodrygo on the scoresheet.
Oct 16, 17:09
The Match
Team News
Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Sunday's La Liga clash between Real Madrid and Barcelona.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Real Madrid and Barcelona, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Predicted Lineups
Sports Mole looks at how Barcelona could line up against Real Madrid in Sunday's El Clasico.
Injuries & Suspensions
Sports Mole rounds up Real Madrid's injury and suspension news ahead of their La Liga clash with Barcelona.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Shakhtar 1-1 Real Madrid
Tuesday, October 11 at 8pm in Champions League
Tuesday, October 11 at 8pm in Champions League
We said: Real Madrid 1-1 Barcelona
Real Madrid will have had an extra day of recovery ahead of this match, which could be crucial, and Barcelona were involved in an energy-zapping contest with Inter during the week. Xavi's side are difficult to back against in the league at the moment, though, and we have a feeling that a tight match could end with the spoils being shared, which both managers would likely accept if that were offered ahead of kickoff. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 39.58%. A win for Barcelona had a probability of 35.34% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.61%) and 2-0 (6.3%). The likeliest Barcelona win was 1-2 (8.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.79%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Real Madrid | Draw | Barcelona |
39.58% ( -0.44) | 25.08% ( -0.04) | 35.34% ( 0.48) |
| Both teams to score 57.32% ( 0.22) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
