Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 63.34%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Elche had a probability of 15.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.1%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.2%), while for a Elche win it was 0-1 (5.37%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Sociedad would win this match.