Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 59.27%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Getafe had a probability of 15.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.3%) and 2-1 (8.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.14%), while for a Getafe win it was 0-1 (7.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Sociedad would win this match.
Result | ||
Real Sociedad | Draw | Getafe |
59.27% ( 0.03) | 25.26% ( 0.01) | 15.46% ( -0.03) |
Both teams to score 37.89% ( -0.08) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
38.08% ( -0.07) | 61.92% ( 0.07) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
18.32% ( -0.05) | 81.67% ( 0.05) |
Real Sociedad Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.98% ( -0.02) | 21.02% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.2% ( -0.02) | 53.8% ( 0.03) |
Getafe Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
47.97% ( -0.09) | 52.03% ( 0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
13.98% ( -0.06) | 86.02% ( 0.06) |
Score Analysis |
Real Sociedad | Draw | Getafe |
1-0 @ 17.05% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 13.3% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 8.69% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 6.92% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.52% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.7% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.76% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.48% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.85% Total : 59.27% | 1-1 @ 11.14% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 10.93% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 2.84% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.34% Total : 25.25% | 0-1 @ 7.15% 1-2 @ 3.64% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 2.33% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.34% Total : 15.46% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barcelona | 11 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 37 | 10 | 27 | 30 |
2 | Real Madrid | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 24 |
3 | Villarreal | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 21 |
4 | Osasuna | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 21 |
5 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 11 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 16 | 7 | 9 | 20 |
6 | Athletic Bilbao | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 18 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 9 | 2 | 18 |
8 | Mallorca | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 18 |
9 | Rayo Vallecano | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 16 |
10 | Sevilla | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 15 | -3 | 15 |
11 | Celta Vigo | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 13 |
12 | AlavesAlaves | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 13 |
13 | Real Sociedad | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 12 |
14 | GironaGirona | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 14 | -3 | 12 |
15 | Leganes | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 11 |
16 | Getafe | 11 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 10 |
17 | Espanyol | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 10 |
18 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 9 |
19 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 24 | -15 | 8 |
20 | Valencia | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 7 |
> La Liga Full Table |