Europa League | Round of 16 | 1st Leg
Mar 9, 2023 at 5.45pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
Roma2 - 0Real Sociedad
FT(HT: 1-0)
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Roma 1-0 Juventus
Sunday, March 5 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Sunday, March 5 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Real Sociedad 0-0 Cadiz
Friday, March 3 at 8pm in La Liga
Friday, March 3 at 8pm in La Liga
We said: Roma 1-0 Real Sociedad
Roma have won only two of their last 15 competitive games against Spanish sides - losing 10 times in the process - but Jose Mourinho has changed the culture of the club. The veteran coach has claimed victory in 14 of his 16 Europa League home matches and knows how to get the job done - with La Real's recent lack of goals also helping his cause. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 45.52%. A draw had a probability of 28.1% and a win for Real Sociedad had a probability of 26.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.17%) and 2-1 (8.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.95%), while for a Real Sociedad win it was 0-1 (9.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Roma | Draw | Real Sociedad |
45.52% ( -0.08) | 28.1% ( 0.01) | 26.38% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 44.24% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
