MX23RW : Sunday, January 5 23:26:08| >> :600:1631039:1631039:
Real Sociedad logo
Europa League | Round of 16 | 2nd Leg
Mar 16, 2023 at 8pm UK
Reale Arena
Roma logo

Real Sociedad
0 - 0
Roma


Zubeldia (13'), Rico (39'), Fernandez (87')
Fernandez (90+8')
FT

Karsdorp (6'), Mancini (17'), Smalling (90+8')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Real Sociedad and Roma, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Real Sociedad 2-1 Roma (Roma win 3-2 on aggregate)

Even if La Real can shake off the shackles of their goalscoring struggles to bring themselves back into the tie, Roma pose enough danger at the other end to score at least once too. The Giallorossi's strikers may be misfiring, but Paulo Dybala is a class apart at this level - and their proficiency from set-pieces could also see them over the line. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 41.74%. A win for Roma had a probability of 30.49% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.41%) and 2-0 (7.94%). The likeliest Roma win was 0-1 (10.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.

Result
Real SociedadDrawRoma
41.74% (0.195 0.2) 27.77% (-0.046000000000003 -0.05) 30.49% (-0.152 -0.15)
Both teams to score 47.37% (0.072000000000003 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.73% (0.119 0.12)58.27% (-0.121 -0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.1% (0.094000000000001 0.09)78.9% (-0.096999999999994 -0.1)
Real Sociedad Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.48% (0.164 0.16)27.51% (-0.166 -0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.98% (0.212 0.21)63.02% (-0.215 -0.22)
Roma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.36% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)34.64% (0.047000000000004 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.63% (-0.052 -0.05)71.36% (0.048999999999992 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Real Sociedad 41.73%
    Roma 30.49%
    Draw 27.76%
Real SociedadDrawRoma
1-0 @ 12.29%
2-1 @ 8.41% (0.028 0.03)
2-0 @ 7.94% (0.038 0.04)
3-1 @ 3.62% (0.029 0.03)
3-0 @ 3.41% (0.032 0.03)
3-2 @ 1.92% (0.013 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.17% (0.015 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.1% (0.015 0.01)
Other @ 1.87%
Total : 41.73%
1-1 @ 13.03% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
0-0 @ 9.53% (-0.043999999999999 -0.04)
2-2 @ 4.46% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
Other @ 0.74%
Total : 27.76%
0-1 @ 10.1% (-0.06 -0.06)
1-2 @ 6.91% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-2 @ 5.36% (-0.039 -0.04)
1-3 @ 2.44% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.89% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.58% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 30.49%

How you voted: Real Sociedad vs Roma

Real Sociedad
42.4%
Draw
15.2%
Roma
42.4%
191
Head to Head
Mar 9, 2023 5.45pm
Round of 16
Roma
2-0
Real Sociedad
El Shaarawy (13'), Kumbulla (87')
Matic (90+4')

Illarramendi (68'), Zubeldia (71'), Gorosabel (80'), Zubimendi (85'), Oyarzabal (90+4')
rhs 2.0
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5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle20105534221235
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15Crystal Palace204972128-721
16Everton193881525-1017
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1944113142-1116
18Ipswich TownIpswich2037102035-1516
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20Southampton2013161244-326


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