Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Getafe win with a probability of 39.75%. A win for Girona had a probability of 31.78% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Getafe win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.05%) and 2-0 (7.63%). The likeliest Girona win was 0-1 (10.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.24%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Getafe would win this match.
Result | ||
Getafe | Draw | Girona |
39.75% ( 0.42) | 28.46% ( -0.16) | 31.78% ( -0.26) |
Both teams to score 45.87% ( 0.37) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
39.64% ( 0.49) | 60.36% ( -0.5) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
19.49% ( 0.37) | 80.51% ( -0.38) |
Getafe Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.36% ( 0.49) | 29.64% ( -0.49) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.32% ( 0.59) | 65.68% ( -0.59) |
Girona Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.19% ( 0.08) | 34.8% ( -0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.46% ( 0.08) | 71.54% ( -0.09) |
Score Analysis |
Getafe | Draw | Girona |
1-0 @ 12.54% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 8.05% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 7.63% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 3.26% ( 0.08) 3-0 @ 3.09% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 1.72% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 0.99% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 0.94% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.52% Total : 39.75% | 1-1 @ 13.24% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 10.31% ( -0.19) 2-2 @ 4.25% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.66% Total : 28.46% | 0-1 @ 10.88% ( -0.18) 1-2 @ 6.99% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 5.75% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 2.46% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.02% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.5% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.19% Total : 31.78% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Madrid | 21 | 15 | 4 | 2 | 50 | 20 | 30 | 49 |
2 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 21 | 13 | 6 | 2 | 35 | 14 | 21 | 45 |
3 | Barcelona | 21 | 13 | 3 | 5 | 59 | 24 | 35 | 42 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 21 | 11 | 7 | 3 | 31 | 18 | 13 | 40 |
5 | Villarreal | 21 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 39 | 32 | 7 | 34 |
6 | Mallorca | 21 | 9 | 3 | 9 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 30 |
7 | Rayo Vallecano | 21 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 25 | 24 | 1 | 29 |
8 | GironaGirona | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 29 | 29 | 0 | 28 |
9 | Real Sociedad | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 28 |
10 | Real BetisBetis | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 23 | 26 | -3 | 28 |
11 | Osasuna | 21 | 6 | 9 | 6 | 25 | 30 | -5 | 27 |
12 | Sevilla | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 24 | 30 | -6 | 27 |
13 | Celta Vigo | 21 | 7 | 4 | 10 | 30 | 33 | -3 | 25 |
14 | Getafe | 21 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 23 |
15 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 26 | 34 | -8 | 23 |
16 | Leganes | 21 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 19 | 29 | -10 | 23 |
17 | AlavesAlaves | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 25 | 33 | -8 | 21 |
18 | Espanyol | 21 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 20 | 33 | -13 | 20 |
19 | Valencia | 21 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 20 | 36 | -16 | 16 |
20 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 21 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 14 | 42 | -28 | 15 |
> La Liga Full Table |