La Liga | Gameweek 4
Sep 2, 2023 at 1pm UK
Reale Arena
Real Sociedad5 - 3Granada
We said: Real Sociedad 2-1 Granada
Real Sociedad are due a win, and we are expecting that to happen this weekend. Granada are capable of making it a very uncomfortable match, but home advantage should allow the Basque outfit to navigate their way to an important three points on Saturday afternoon. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 47.51%. A draw had a probability of 27.6% and a win for Granada had a probability of 24.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.61%) and 2-1 (8.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.75%), while for a Granada win it was 0-1 (9.32%). The actual scoreline of 5-3 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Sociedad would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Real Sociedad | Draw | Granada |
47.51% ( -0.03) | 27.58% ( -0.03) | 24.91% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 44.48% ( 0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
